The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 31.3%
Draw 27.2%
Doncaster Rovers 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
26.9%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
26%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Barden D. (G) 2. Sobowale T. 5. Wright W. 20. Freckleton M. 33. McGregor J. 8. Clarke O. (C) 18. Kilkenny G. 7. Cotterill J. 27. Cox G. 22. Butterworth D. 9. Glatzel P.
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 17. Bailey O. (C) 7. Molyneux L. 8. Broadbent G. 22. Kelly P. 11. Gibson J. 15. Clifton H. 20. Ironside J. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
1. Bycroft J. (G) 4. Delaney R. 23. Drinan A. 14. Longelo-Mbule R. 6. Ofoborh N. 10. Smith H. 21. Tshimanga K.
33. Close B. 21. Hurst K. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 10. Sbarra J. 2. Sterry J. 18. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Kennedy M.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Clarke O. 🟨,
38', Butterworth D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Glatzel P. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
46', Cox G. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
51', Sharp B. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Olowu J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
64', Clarke O. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
65', Cotterill J. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
72', Sharp B. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
77', Kelly P. 🟨,
80', Kelly P. ↓, Close B. ↑,
85', Gibson J. ↓, Sterry J. ↑,
85', Clifton H. ↓, Maxwell J. ↑,
90+4', Freckleton M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Ironside J. (Pen),
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Doncaster have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).