Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Rede Globo, SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Diema TV
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Sports France 1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	NPO 1
Norway	NRK 1
Poland	TVP 2, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo
Sweden	SVT 2, SVT Play
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Ukraine


	Switzerland		Italy

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.88	2.55
	3.2	2.8	2.55
	3.2	2.82	2.68
	3.37	2.88	2.68
	3.41	2.93	2.67
	3.25	2.8	2.6
	3.41	2.86	2.58
	3.25	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.34)	2.85 ↓ (3.17)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FS1

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Current Win Probability

Switzerland
29.3%

Draw
33.8%

Italy
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.1%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

29.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Switzerland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Switzerland than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	54.5%	29.5%

Switzerland - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 130 users predict this event. Switzerland will win (votes: 21 - 16.2%). Italy will win (votes: 38 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 71 - 54.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46% – 63.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) Inter 22. Schar F. Newcastle Utd 5. Akanji M. Manchester City 13. Rodriguez R. Torino 20. Aebischer M. Bologna 8. Freuler R. Bologna 10. Xhaka G. (C) Bayer Leverkusen 26. Rieder F. Rennes 17. Vargas R. Augsburg 7. Embolo B. Monaco 19. Ndoye D. Bologna	1. Donnarumma G. (C) PSG 2. Di Lorenzo G. Napoli 17. Mancini G. AS Roma 23. Bastoni A. Inter 13. Darmian M. Inter 16. Cristante B. AS Roma 21. Fagioli N. Juventus 18. Barella N. Inter 14. Chiesa F. Juventus 9. Scamacca G. Atalanta 22. El Shaarawy S. AS Roma
Substitutes
25. Amdouni Z. Burnley 18. Duah K. Ludogorets 4. Elvedi N. B. Monchengladbach 24. Jashari A. Luzern 21. Kobel G. (G) Dortmund 12. Mvogo Y. (G) Lorient 9. Okafor N. AC Milan 23. Shaqiri X. Chicago Fire 16. Sierro V. Toulouse 11. Steffen R. Lugano 2. Stergiou L. VfB Stuttgart 6. Zakaria D. Monaco 15. Zesiger C. Wolfsburg 14. Zuber S. AEK	15. Bellanova R. Torino 4. Buongiorno A. Torino 24. Cambiaso A. Juventus 3. Dimarco F. Inter 25. Folorunsho M. Verona 7. Frattesi D. Inter 6. Gatti F. Juventus 8. Jorginho Arsenal 26. Meret A. (G) Napoli 10. Pellegrini Lo. AS Roma 11. Raspadori G. Napoli 19. Retegui M. Genoa 12. Vicario G. (G) Tottenham 20. Zaccagni M. Lazio
Coaches
Yakin M.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Barella N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Freuler R. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
45', El Shaarawy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Zaccagni M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Vargas R. ⚽, Aebischer M. (A),
57', Mancini G. 🟨,
64', Barella N. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
71', Vargas R. ↓, Zuber S. ↑,
72', Rieder F. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
74', Darmian M. ↓, Cambiaso A. ↑,
75', Cristante B. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
77', Embolo B. ↓, Duah K. ↑,
77', Ndoye D. ↓, Sierro V. ↑,
86', Fagioli N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
90+2', Aebischer M. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,

Preview

Switzerland is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Italy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Switzerland: Widmer S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Italy: Calafiori R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Italy: Dimarco F. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Switzerland won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Switzerland
UEFA Euro
23.06.24	Switzerland - Germany	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	Scotland - Switzerland	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Hungary - Switzerland	1:3 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Switzerland - Austria	1:1 ✺
04.06.24	Switzerland - Estonia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTW
- Italy
UEFA Euro
24.06.24	Croatia - Italy	1:1 ✺
20.06.24	Spain - Italy	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Italy - Albania	2:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:0 ✺
04.06.24	Italy - Turkey	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
12.11.21	Italy - Switzerland	1:1
05.09.21	Switzerland - Italy	0:0
UEFA Euro
16.06.21	Italy - Switzerland	3:0

Switzerland - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide