Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	10 Play
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	QQ Sports
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Sydney		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.3	3.75	2.65	Watch
	2.27	3.76	2.67
	2.27	3.91	2.71	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.7
	2.27	3.64	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (3.04)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	2.67 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney
40.8%

Draw
24.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney's performance.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Sydney - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Redmayne A. (G) 23. Grant R. (C) 41. Popovic A. 5. Matthews H. 4. Courtney-Perkins J. 15. Leo Sena 17. Caceres A. 7. Segecic A. 8. Ouahim A. 22. Burgess M. 9. Klimala P.	1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 6. Aoyama T. 16. Shichi T. 5. Matsumoto H. 18. Kashiwa Y. 25. Chajima Y. 35. Nakajima Y. 11. Mitsuta M. 10. Marcos Junior 9. Vieira D.
Substitutes
12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 33. France M. 3. Gurd A. 37. Kennedy W. 16. King J. 25. Kucharski J. 27. Middleton L. 20. Quintal T. 13. Wood P.	13. Arai N. 24. Higashi S. 34. Hosoya K. 51. Kato M. 66. Kawabe H. 22. Kawanami G. (G) 14. Matsumoto T. 15. Nakano S. 99. Paciencia G. 19. Sasaki S. 20. Sotiriou P. 21. Tanaka Y. (G)
Coaches
Talay U.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Aoyama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aoyama T. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
60', Marcos Junior ↓, Kato M. ↑,
60', Vieira D. ↓, Sotiriou P. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Kato M. ⚽, Shichi T. (A),
65', Segecic A. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
72', Chajima Y. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
78', Klimala P. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
79', Sotiriou P. 🟨,
83', Shichi T. 🟨,
85', Shichi T. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
87', Grant R. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,
87', Ouahim A. ↓, France M. ↑,
88', Courtney-Perkins J. ↓, King J. ↑,
90+2', Popovic A. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sydney could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sydney have a series of guest games.

Sydney will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sydney won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC
Australian A-League
01.11.24	Brisbane Roar - Sydney	2:3 ✺
26.10.24	Auckland FC - Sydney	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sydney	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League
19.10.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Kaya - Sydney	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
03.11.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sydney	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.10.24	Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Eastern AA - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sydney	2:1

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