The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69.6%
Draw 18.1%
Kyoto Sanga 12.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69%
17.8%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
15.8%
11.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. 7. Higashi S. 5. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. (C) 35. Nakajima Y. 18. Suga D. 10. Suzuki A. 23. Ayukawa S. 22. Haller S.
90. Halls (G) 15. Nagata K. 40. Ishida Y. 50. Suzuki Y. (C) 44. Sato K. 24. Morooka H. 25. Yoon S. 77. Arai H. 62. Shichi T. 48. Nakano R. 23. Kato T.
Substitutes
29. Asano T. 11. Kato M. 8. Kawamura T. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 45. Kobayashi S. 32. Koshimichi S. 14. Matsumoto T. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 9. Yengi K.
6. Joao Pedro 11. Marco Tulio 18. Matsuda T. 1. Ota G. (G) 17. Souza Alex 5. Tawiah H. 43. Weverton 60. Yamanaka R. 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Gaul B.
Popovic R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Sato K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Suga D. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
55', Nakano R. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
55', Shichi T. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
63', Ayukawa S. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
63', Nakajima Y. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
64', Suga D. ↓, Kim Ju-Sung ↑,
67', Haller S. 🟨,
72', Kato T. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
72', Yoon S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
73', Haller S. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Asano T. (A),
80', Morooka H. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Kato M. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
86', Suzuki A. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
Hiroshima is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Kyoto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hiroshima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hiroshima has faced a series of away games on the road.
Hiroshima holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Hiroshima: Yamasaki T.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Kyoto: Saito M.
(Knee Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Hiroshima in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Hiroshima has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:10 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hiroshima against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).