Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 8

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Sydney FC U23		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.85	1.39
	5.9	5.3	1.43
	5.02	4.88	1.5
	5	4.6	1.4
	6.17	4.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (5.33)	4.91 ↑ (4.16)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC U23
16.6%

Draw
18.7%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

21.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney FC U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). APIA Leichhardt will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney FC U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - APIA Leichhardt (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney FC U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). APIA Leichhardt (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Sydney FC U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sydney FC U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 2:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney FC U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 1.5:6.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
20.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - University of New South Wales	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sydney United - Sydney FC U23	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - Wollongong Wolves	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sydney FC U23 - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney FC U23	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLWW
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
21.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Wollongong Wolves	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Manly United - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
20.06.25	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:6
08.03.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney FC U23	2:0
11.08.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney FC U23	1:5
05.05.24	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:7

Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide