Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 24

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Sydney FC U23		Manly United

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.50
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	3.18	3.4	2.25
	2.78	3.42	2.39
	2.95	3.3	2.19
	2.73	3.64	2.34
	2.6	3.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.18)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC U23
34.2%

Draw
27.5%

Manly United
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney FC U23's form might have worsened.

Manly United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manly United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney FC U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manly United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sydney FC U23 - Manly United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In recent matches, Sydney FC U23 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manly United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Sydney FC U23 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Manly United has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sydney FC U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sydney FC U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
11.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney FC U23	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	University of New South Wales - Sydney FC U23	3:2 ✺
30.06.26	SD Raiders - Sydney FC U23	0:1 ✺
26.06.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sydney United	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sydney FC U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LLWWW
- Manly United
Australian NPL NSW
11.07.26	Manly United - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Manly United - SD Raiders	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Manly United	3:3 ✺
20.06.26	Manly United - St George Saints	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Manly United - Sydney United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1
15.06.25	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	0:6
28.02.25	Sydney FC U23 - Manly United	0:0
31.05.24	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:0

Sydney FC U23 - Manly United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide