Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 22

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: The Village Green (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	University of New South Wales		Sydney FC U23

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.20
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.05	3.55	3.38
	2.07	3.5	3.32	Watch
	2.01	3.4	3.3
	2.04	3.56	3.35
	2.03	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	3.3 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of New South Wales
45.3%

Draw
26.8%

Sydney FC U23
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

University of New South Wales - Sydney FC U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

UNSW is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sydney FC U23 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UNSW may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UNSW might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UNSW won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
27.06.26	University of New South Wales - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Marconi Stallions - University of New South Wales	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	University of New South Wales - St George Saints	1:4 ✺
06.06.26	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	University of New South Wales - Wollongong Wolves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
30.06.26	SD Raiders - Sydney FC U23	0:1 ✺
26.06.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sydney United	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sydney FC U23	2:3 ✺
12.06.26	Marconi Stallions - Sydney FC U23	0:0 ✺
05.06.26	Sydney FC U23 - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
20.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - University of New South Wales	0:2

University of New South Wales - Sydney FC U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide