Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lambert Park (Sydney) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	05:30	SportsEngine Play


	APIA Leichhardt Tigers		Peninsula Power

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	3.7	Watch
	1.53	4.00	4.60
	1.41	4.60	5.30
	1.64	4.51	4.1
	1.65	4.42	3.95
	1.6	4.4	3.95
	1.6	4.2	4.25	Watch
	1.7	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	4.32 ↑ (4)	4.24 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
57.3%

Draw
21.1%

Peninsula Power
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in APIA Leichhardt Tigers's performance.

Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peninsula Power might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with APIA Leichhardt Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Peninsula Power Predictions

Users Predictions: APIA Leichhardt Tigers will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kalac O. (C) 24. Fong C. 15. Muata Marlow T. 21. Kouta M. 16. Symons S. 22. Caspers E. 19. Monge F. 7. Stewart J. 8. Konestabo M. S. 2. Kambayashi S. 9. Ortiz P.	1. Thurtell J. (C) 2. Gray R. 24. McKenzie C. 5. Phelps J. 17. Driver D. 12. Diho R. 18. Messina R. 8. Woolley J. 4. Hitchcock J. 10. Joseph N. 9. Miyazawa H.
Substitutes
13. Court M. 6. Deli F. 99. Farinella F. 11. Jordan R. 20. Parkes A. (G) 17. Segreto J. 25. Shaw K.	15. Anshu A. 7. Gibbs K. 20. Leck D. 13. Maloney J. (G) 16. Mercien-Ferol N. 3. Stokes S. 11. Vanderharst-Bryant K.
Coaches
Parisi F.	Philip A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Diho R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Stewart J. ⚽, Konestabo M. S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Messina R. ↓, Gibbs K. ↑,
59', Joseph N. 🟨,
64', Symons S. 🟨,
66', Gray R. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Symons S. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Gibbs K. ⚽, McKenzie C. (A),
76', Konestabo M. S. 🟨,
77', Symons S. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
79', Hitchcock J. ↓, Anshu A. ↑,
79', Diho R. ↓, Vanderharst-Bryant K. ↑,
79', Miyazawa H. ↓, Leck D. ↑,
84', Konestabo M. S. ↓, Farinella F. ↑,
84', Stewart J. ↓, Segreto J. ↑,
89', McKenzie C. ↓, Mercien-Ferol N. ↑,
90+1', Monge F. ↓, Court M. ↑,
90+1', Kambayashi S. ↓, Jordan R. ↑,

Preview

APIA Leichhardt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peninsula is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Peninsula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
11.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney FC U23	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Rockdale Ilinden	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Wollongong Wolves - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW
- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
10.07.26	Peninsula Power - Wynnum Wolves	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Peninsula Power - Brisbane Roar U23	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Olympic FC - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
06.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Peninsula Power	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Peninsula Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide