Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sydney United Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Sydney United		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.63	4.12	4.95
	1.58	3.95	5.32	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.5
	1.63	3.84	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	3.85 ↑ (3.57)	4.7 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney United
56.6%

Draw
23.8%

St. George City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney United's performance.

St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sydney United - St. George City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney United won 3.

Sydney United has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

St. George City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. George City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sydney United is the team to beat.

We predict that Sydney United will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sydney United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney United
Australian NPL NSW
06.04.26	Sydney United - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sydney United - Blacktown City	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sydney United - Sydney FC U23	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	SD Raiders - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	St. George City - Wollongong Wolves	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	St. George City - SD Raiders	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - St. George City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
31.08.25	St. George City - Sydney United	0:2
18.05.25	Sydney United - St. George City	1:0
25.08.24	Sydney United - St. George City	1:0
18.05.24	St. George City - Sydney United	2:1
20.08.23	Sydney United - St. George City	0:2
06.05.23	St. George City - Sydney United	0:1

Sydney United - St. George City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide