Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday


	Sài Gòn		Hoang Anh Gia Lai

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	3.85	3.55	1.75
	4.13	3.8	1.77
	3.9	3.2	1.83
	4.1	3.62	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.62)	3.51 ↑ (3.09)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sài Gòn
22.9%

Draw
25.9%

Hoang Anh Gia Lai
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

29.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sài Gòn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Hoang Anh Gia Lai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoang Anh Gia Lai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sài Gòn than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoang Anh Gia Lai than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoang Anh Gia Lai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	14.8%	63%

Sài Gòn - Hoang Anh Gia Lai Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sài Gòn will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Hoang Anh Gia Lai will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoang Anh Gia Lai: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ V.League 2 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sài Gòn won 4.

Recent matches Sài Gòn is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sài Gòn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hoang Anh Gia Lai is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sài Gòn won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sài Gòn won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sài Gòn FC
Vietnamese V League 1
30.07.22	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh - Sài Gòn	3:4 ✺
24.07.22	Sài Gòn - Nam Định	2:2 ✺
20.07.22	Hà Nội FC - Sài Gòn	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Thanh Hoa - Sài Gòn	4:0 ✺
09.07.22	Sài Gòn - Quy Nhon United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLT
- Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Vietnamese V League 1
24.07.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Thanh Hoa	2:0 ✺
20.07.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Binh Duong	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	0:2 ✺
10.07.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Đà Nẵng	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Quy Nhon United - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
17.01.21	Sài Gòn - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	1:0
25.10.20	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	2:4
18.06.20	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	1:1
14.09.19	Sài Gòn - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	3:1
05.03.19	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	1:3
22.06.18	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	3:2
14.04.18	Sài Gòn - Hoang Anh Gia Lai	3:1

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