Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	8.1	4.45	1.32
	11.02	4.54	1.32
	9.56	4.46	1.32	Watch
	8.5	4	1.33
	7.74	4.42	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.98 ↑ (4.76)	4.37 ↑ (3.69)	1.34 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
10.2%

Draw
21%

Coruxo
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

22.6%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sámano's form might have worsened.

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coruxo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sámano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coruxo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sámano - Coruxo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coruxo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Coruxo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coruxo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Anon D. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Marta D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Berzosa A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Sámano is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coruxo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Coruxo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sámano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Salamanca - Sámano	5:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sámano - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Valladolid B - Sámano	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Sámano - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLL
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Coruxo - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Real Ávila - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Coruxo - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Coruxo - Valladolid B	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	UD Ourense - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.11.25	Coruxo - Sámano	4:1

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