Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Bergantiños		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.95	5.7
	1.47	4.09	6.14
	1.45	4.3	6.13	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.54	4.17	5.48
	1.47	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	4.07 ↑ (4.06)	5.96 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
62.2%

Draw
22.5%

Sámano
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Bergantiños - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Saez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Bergantiños have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sámano has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bergantiños is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	UD Ourense - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.12.25	Sámano - Langreo	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Coruxo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

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