Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.15	1.85
	4.28	3.28	1.82	Watch
	4.2	3	1.83
	4.18	3.16	1.84
	4.33	3.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.68)	3.16 ↓ (3.16)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
21.7%

Draw
28.8%

Gimnástica Segoviana
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-1%)

Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Fillouche S. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Nsukula G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 0, Nsukula G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent form of Burgos Promesas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

G Segoviana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, G Segoviana is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Coruxo - Burgos Promesas	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.02.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	1:0
15.11.20	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1
24.03.19	Gimnástica Segoviana - Burgos Promesas	2:1
04.11.18	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:2

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