Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Sámano		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.85	2.05
	3.7	2.98	1.98
	4.13	3.03	2
	25.00	5.91	1.14	Watch
	3.9	3.18	2.01
	3.7	2.82	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.34 ↑ (3.62)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sámano
14.2%

Draw
30.1%

Salamanca
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sámano's form might have worsened.

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sámano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sámano - Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Carrasco R. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mancebo A. ⚽,

Preview

Sámano has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Salamanca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sámano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Salamanca might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Sámano - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sámano - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.25	Sámano - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Castro - Sámano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Salamanca - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Alcalá - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTL

Upcoming Matches