Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 14

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	3.45	3	2.05	Watch
	4.18	2.98	2.02
	3.92	2.95	2	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.98	2.88	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.44)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
23.8%

Draw
30.9%

Taubaté
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

30.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

São Bento - Taubaté Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Bahia F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
82', 1 - 1, Macario ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Breno A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, De Sousa Barros L. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Soares Chagas K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Bento won 3.

Recent form of São Bento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Taubaté is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Taubaté is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, São Bento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, São Bento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.26	São Bento - Linense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	CA Juventus - São Bento	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Votuporanguense - São Bento	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Sertãozinho - São Bento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLL
- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.26	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Água Santa - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Taubaté - Santo André	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Votuporanguense - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.25	Taubaté - São Bento	1:0
07.02.24	São Bento - Taubaté	1:0
06.02.22	São Bento - Taubaté	1:0
15.09.20	São Bento - Taubaté	2:1 penalties
08.09.20	Taubaté - São Bento	0:0
12.02.20	Taubaté - São Bento	1:1

São Bento - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide