Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Água Santa		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.35	Watch
	1.69	3.36	4.9	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.59	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.41 ↑ (3.21)	4.62 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
53.6%

Draw
26.7%

Taubaté
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Água Santa - Taubaté Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Romarinho (Penalty Awarded),
39', 0 - 2, Romarinho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Nicholas ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Roger ⚽,
88', 🟥,
90', 2 - 3, Italo ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Taubaté may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Taubaté has had a series of home games.

In this match, Água Santa is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	São José-SP - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Água Santa - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Água Santa - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Santo André - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL
- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.26	Taubaté - Santo André	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Votuporanguense - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Taubaté - Ituano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	Água Santa - Taubaté	1:0

Água Santa - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide