The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tombense 51.4%
Draw 28.3%
Botafogo PB 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
32.2%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
33.9%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.
Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo PB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo PB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Tombense - Botafogo PB Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Botafogo PB will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 35. Anderson Ligeiro 3. Ednei 6. Emerson 9. Igor Bahia 13. Iury 7. Jefferson Renan 15. Mikael 25. Pedro 18. Pierre (C) 31. Rony Fernandes
37. Wallace (G) 10. Bruno Leite 3. Douglas 24. Iranilson 29. Jo 5. Lucas Goncalves 6. Rafael Furlan 14. Renie 26. Sillas 21. Vinicius Leite 4. Wendel Lomar (C)
Substitutes
12. Davi Schneider (G) 21. Douglas Coutinho 11. Felipinho 8. Kaio Mendes 14. Lucas Oliveira 32. Martins da Silva L. T. 5. Moises Ribeiro 2. Pedro Costa 10. Rafinha 22. Rickson 34. Tiaguinho 27. Wagner Balotelli
12. Caio (G) 8. Edmundo 36. Elvinho 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 15. Gama 99. Henrique Dourado 18. Lucas Siqueira 28. Matheus Santos 27. Paulinho 16. Warley 7. Will
Coaches
Raul Cabral
Evaristo Piza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Sillas 🟨,
11', Mikael 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Rafael Furlan ⚽,
18', Lucas Goncalves 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Jo ⚽,
38', Jo 🟨,
40', Douglas 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Anderson Ligeiro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucas Goncalves ↓, Gama ↑,
46', Mikael ↓, Rickson ↑,
46', Douglas ↓, Edmundo ↑,
56', Pedro ↓, Felipinho ↑,
62', Igor Bahia ↓, Douglas Coutinho ↑,
63', Rafael Furlan 🟨,
68', Vinicius Leite ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
68', Bruno Leite ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
71', Renie ↓, Matheus Santos ↑,
76', Wallace 🟨,
78', Gama 🟨,
90+3', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
90+3', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
90+5', Rony Fernandes 🟨,
90+7', Henrique Dourado (Pen),
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
Botafogo PB is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Tombense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Tombense is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.