The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC São José Porto Alegre 26%
Draw 31%
São Bernardo 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
31.1%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
30%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 76.1% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 5. Danielzinho 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Edinho 3. Fredson 8. Gabriel Terra 6. Lailson 11. Marcio Jonatan 7. Matheuzinho 14. Rafael Carillho 4. Tiago Pedra
12. Junior Oliveira (C) 97. Augusto 26. Davi Gabriel 43. Joao Ramos 33. Kaua Jesus 99. Kayke 75. Maycon Douglas 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson 66. Vitor Ricardo 23. Wesley Dias
Substitutes
18. Alessandro Vinicius 12. Edson Junior (G) 19. Emerson Brito 20. Evaristo 13. Jadson 16. Jean Lucca 17. Nayssinho M. V. 15. Neko 2. Samuel
91. Alan Santos 1. Alex Alves (G) 44. Anderson Conceicao 6. Arthur Henrique 30. Godoy de Andrade G. C. 3. Helder Maciel 20. Nycollas 8. Rodrigo Souza 18. Wendell
Coaches
Zimermann R.
Ricardo Catala
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Marcio Jonatan ↓, Emerson Brito ↑,
46', Matheuzinho ↓, Jean Lucca ↑,
46', Douglas Oliveira ↓, Jadson ↑,
60', Maycon Douglas ↓, Nycollas ↑,
62', 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Jean Lucca ⚽,
67', Rafael Forster 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Joao Ramos (Own goal),
72', Wesley Dias ↓, Godoy de Andrade G. C. ↑,
77', Kaua Jesus ↓, Wendell ↑,
78', Kayke ↓, Hannyel K. ↑,
78', Rafael Forster ↓, Anderson Conceicao ↑,
79', 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Rafael Carillho ⚽,
89', Jean Lucca ↓, Nayssinho M. V. ↑,
90+4', Edinho ↓, Samuel ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
EC São José Porto Alegre is Relegated to Serie D
São Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
EC São José Porto Alegre has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
São Bernardo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently EC São José Porto Alegre have a series of guest games.
São Bernardo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches EC São José Porto Alegre won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams EC São José Porto Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Brazil
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