Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	DAZN Brasil


	Náutico Capibaribe		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.34	2.75	3.25	Watch
	2.59	2.88	3.56
	2.44	2.79	3.38	Watch
	2.35	2.71	3.29	Watch
	2.34	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.98)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	3.31 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
39%

Draw
33%

Botafogo PB
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 18. Auremir 33. Carlinhos 5. Igor Pereira 40. Joao Maistro 6. Luiz Paulo 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio (C) 7. Vinicius	1. Michael (G) 18. Evandro 17. Gabriel Honorio 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 9. Henrique Dourado 2. Lucas Lopes 4. Marcelo Augusto 3. Renie (C) 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson
Substitutes
80. Bruno Mezenga 10. Caio Vitor 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 16. Felipe Santana 11. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 12. Kelvin 3. Rayan 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson	23. Amorim 10. Camilo 34. Denilson 22. Erick 8. Igor Maduro 26. JP Iseppe 28. Luis Miguel 7. Rafinha 33. Raphael Carvalho 21. Silvinho 12. Wallace (G)
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Joao Maistro 🟨,
40', Helio dos Anjos 🟨,
44', Gabriel Honorio 🟨,
45', Thallyson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patrick Allan ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
46', Marco Antonio ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
53', Gama 🟨,
54', Arnaldo ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
59', Vinicius 🟨,
63', Gama ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
63', Thallyson ↓, JP Iseppe ↑,
63', Henrique Dourado ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
67', Guilherme Santos ↓, Camilo ↑,
73', Marcelo Augusto 🟨,
74', Renie 🟨,
77', Luiz Paulo ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
79', Helio Borges 🟨,
81', Auremir ↓, Wenderson ↑,
82', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Silvinho ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Botafogo PB have a series of home games.

Náutico will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Náutico won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.03.25	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
03.03.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWTL
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.03.25	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.25	Botafogo PB - Concórdia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.02.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
19.06.23	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.22	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
20.02.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.20	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.19	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1

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