Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)


	São Bernardo		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.84	3.26	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.78	3.24	4.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	4.22 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
50.6%

Draw
28%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Junior Oliveira (G) 89. Daniel Amorim 26. Dudu Miraima 27. Echapora 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 16. Joao Ferraz 30. Junior Urso 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva (C) 29. Pedrinho	1. Ze Carlos (G) 11. Cruz Manhaes O. (C) 3. Daniel Nunes 9. Elias 7. Gabriel Agu 6. Guilherme 10. Luan Gama 2. Lucas Carvalho 4. Lucas Marreta 5. Pablo 8. Walber
Substitutes
37. Davi D. 10. Fabricio Daniel 20. Felipe Rodrigues 25. Gonzaga W. 39. Hwaskar 35. Jemerson 7. Lucas Rian 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 19. Neto Costa 6. Para 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 17. Romisson	12. Eduardo (G) 18. Ewerton Potiguar 16. Gregory 17. Jean 15. Martini J. P. 19. Paulo Victor 14. Renan Diniz 13. Ryan Andrade

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Luizao ⚽,
37', Pablo 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Dudu Miraima ⚽,
40', Marcao Silva 🟨,
42', Lucas Marreta 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Elias ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dudu Miraima ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Elias ⚽,
59', Junior Urso ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
59', Echapora ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
60', Pedrinho ↓, Romisson ↑,
61', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
67', Walber ↓, Gregory ↑,
75', Helder Maciel 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Bernardo is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Chapecoense - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
10.03.26	Joinville - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	São Bernardo - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWT

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