Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	São Bernardo		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.39	5.35
	1.8	2.8	4.6
	1.69	3.4	5	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	4.95 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
53.6%

Draw
27.9%

EC São José Porto Alegre
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

29.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

São Bernardo - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 13. Alex Reinaldo 6. Arthur Henrique 3. Helder Maciel 14. Itambe 9. Joao Carlos 7. Lucas Tocantins 10. Matheus Oliveira 4. Matheus Salustiano 8. Rodrigo Souza 17. Romisson	1. Fabio (G) 3. Fredson 7. Guilherme Belea 4. Jadson 8. Karl 5. Lucas Cunha 22. Matheuzinho 17. Nonato 14. Rafael Carillho 11. Thayllon 19. Thiago Santos
Substitutes
11. Allanzinho 5. Biazus E. 20. Bruno Michel 18. Bruno Santos 26. Davi Gabriel 30. Guilherme Paraiba 55. Henrique Lordelo 21. Hugo Sanchez 2. Jeferson 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 16. Luiz Filipe 88. Silvinho	2. Bruno Jesus 13. Dener 9. Gilvan 21. Guilherme Biteco 12. Lorenzo (G) 16. Marco 10. Rondinelly 20. Thiaguinho 15. Tiago Pedra

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

EC São José Porto Alegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
09.09.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.08.23	Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
21.08.23	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
10.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brusque	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Pouso Alegre - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Figueirense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.17	São Bernardo - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 penalties
22.07.17	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	0:0

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