Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA PAULISTA - ROUND 10

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	São Bernardo		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.66
	4.76	3.3	1.79
	4.6	3.38	1.75
	4.3	3.45	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (4.23)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
20.8%

Draw
26.3%

Portuguesa Santista
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Portuguesa Santista is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.08.23	Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
21.08.23	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	São Bernardo - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
31.07.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWLT
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.08.23	Portuguesa Santista - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	São José-SP - Portuguesa Santista	3:2 ✺
30.07.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.05.21	Portuguesa Santista - São Bernardo	0:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
09.12.20	São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	2:0
06.12.20	Portuguesa Santista - São Bernardo	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.02.20	São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	1:2

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