Match Info
Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Caetano |
|
Caxias |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
3.2 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.44 |
3.22 |
2.06 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.35) |
3.14 ↓
(3.22) |
2.09 ↓
(2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Caetano
27.4% | Draw
29% | Caxias
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Caetano's form might have worsened.Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caxias's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.7%) 
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Preview
Limited number of spectators. São Caetano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Caxias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2. Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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