Match Info

Gaucho - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Juventude		Caxias

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4.2	Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.6
	1.88	2.92	4.55	Watch
	1.94	2.77	5.16	Watch
	1.85	2.7	4.5
	1.88	2.8	4.76	Watch
	1.86	2.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)	2.87 ↓ (3.36)	4.73 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juventude
48.9%

Draw
31.8%

Caxias
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.1%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Juventude - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Caxias (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam 4. Messias 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 2. Rai Ramos 8. Lucas Mineiro 26. Ly I. 28. Alan Ruschel 44. Mandaca 19. Gabriel Taliari 25. Alisson Safira	1. Leo Lang (G) 2. Ronei 3. Robles Fuentes A. 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 6. Roberto 5. Wellington Reis 8. Dudu Vieira 11. Calyson 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 7. Douglas Skilo 9. Jeam
Substitutes
23. Abner 43. Bernardo Toffolo 17. Castro M. 79. Joao Scatolin 20. Joao Trevisol 70. Juan Christian 15. Leo Indio 10. Marcos Paulo 99. Marlon Santos 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 27. Ray Breno	18. Andrew 15. Breno Santos 14. Dija 22. Gustavo Nescau 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 13. Joilson 17. Lucas Candido 12. Marcelo (G) 21. Matheus Nunes 16. Vitinho 23. Vitor Feijao 20. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Fernando Marchiori

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Alisson Safira 🟨,
10', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
11', Calyson 🟨,
26', Robles Fuentes A. 🟥,
32', Calyson ↓, Joilson ↑,
33', Douglas Skilo ↓, Vitinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ly I. ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
46', Gabriel Pinheiro ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
62', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
62', Ronei 🟨,
74', Jeam 🟨,
75', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
79', Rai Ramos ↓, Castro M. ↑,
79', Jeam ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
80', Wellington Reis 🟨,
83', Wellington Reis ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
83', Tomas Bastos ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
87', Mandaca ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
89', Joilson 🟨,
90+3', Leo Lang 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Sam ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
90+10', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
90+12', Dudu Vieira 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.

Juventude has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Juventude is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Corinthians - Juventude	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Juventude - Santos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTTL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Caxias - Avenida	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	São Luiz - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.02.25	Caxias - Juventude	0:2
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1
27.02.23	Caxias - Juventude	2:2
26.02.22	Juventude - Caxias	0:0
05.04.21	Caxias - Juventude	0:0
23.07.20	Juventude - Caxias	2:0
09.03.19	Juventude - Caxias	0:3

Upcoming Matches