Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.25	2.9	3	Watch
	2.47	3.1	3.22
	2.44	2.68	3.41	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.38	3.14	3.03	Watch
	2.17	3.02	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.16)	2.95 ↓ (3.04)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
40%

Draw
31.1%

Caxias
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Ypiranga - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ze Carlos (C) 19. Caique 5. Charles Raphael 11. Felipe Marques 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 87. Ricardo Bueno 7. Roger 3. Willian Gomes	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 33. Alan 16. Douglas Skilo 39. Eduardo Melo 28. Jhonatan Ribeiro 4. Lucas Cunha 6. Marcelo 27. Pedro Cuiaba 2. Thiago Ennes 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 23. Vinicius Guedes
Substitutes
34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 32. Fabao 79. Gabryel Martins 43. Lucas Fogaca 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 18. Montefiori T. 77. Pedrinho 26. Valber Junior 2. Vitor Marinho	3. Alisson 44. Douglas 43. Guilherme Mantuan 9. Gustavo Nescau 21. Kelvyn 5. Lorran 17. Petterson 15. Ronei 32. Victor Golas (G) 19. Welder 7. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
23', Ricardo Bueno 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Eduardo Melo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
67', Eduardo Melo ↓, Welder ↑,
79', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Alisson ↑,
79', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
79', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
87', Douglas Skilo ↓, Petterson ↑,
89', Lorran 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.

Recent performances by Ypiranga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ypiranga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Retrô Brasil - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Ypiranga - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Ypiranga - Maringá	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.25	Caxias - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Caxias - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	CS Alagoano - Caxias	2:3 ✺
29.06.25	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.08.24	Ypiranga - Caxias	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.01.24	Ypiranga - Caxias	2:2
04.03.23	Caxias - Ypiranga	3:0
05.03.22	Ypiranga - Caxias	2:0
20.04.21	Caxias - Ypiranga	2:2
29.07.20	Ypiranga - Caxias	0:0
16.02.20	Caxias - Ypiranga	1:0

Ypiranga - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide