Match Info

Date: 22 April 2021, Thursday


	São Caetano		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.65
	5.25	3.3	1.65
	6	3.15	1.58
	5.2	3.25	1.63
	5.72	3.58	1.68
	6	3.3	1.63
	5.45	3.58	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.75)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
16.6%

Draw
27.4%

Ponte Preta
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Caetano - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

São Caetano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponte Preta have a series of guest games.

In this match Ponte Preta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.04.21	São Bento - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	São Caetano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	São Paulo - São Caetano	5:1 ✺
14.03.21	São Caetano - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
11.03.21	Palmeiras - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.04.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
16.04.21	Ponte Preta - Santos	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.04.21	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.03.21	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.03.21	Gama - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.03.13	Ponte Preta - São Caetano	3:1

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