Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.19	7	10	Watch
	1.23	5.50	11.00
	1.2	5.55	11.5	Watch
	1.25	6.06	14.7
	1.26	5.5	11	Watch
	1.21	5.75	14
	1.23	6.39	13.5	Watch
	1.22	5.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.25)	5.94 ↑ (5.5)	12.21 ↑ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
76.6%

Draw
15.8%

Ponte Preta
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

17%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 3. Ericson 4. Vilar 6. Patrick Brey (C) 8. Everton Morelli 5. Leandro Maciel 30. Ze Hugo 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 18. Arthur Caike	30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 15. Gabriel Caran 4. Diego M. L. 6. Jonathan 5. Rodrigo Souza 18. David da Hora 8. Andre Lima 22. Denis 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 9. Brandao
Substitutes
27. Darlan 26. Felipe Vieira 22. Gabriel Inocencio 17. Guilherme Queiroz 9. Hygor 2. Jonathan 12. Jordan (G) 28. Marco Antonio 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley Santos 20. Yuri Felipe	19. Danilo Peu 13. Diego Porfirio 32. Di Mauro F. 7. Ferreira E. 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 44. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 16. Juan Rodrigues 2. Julio 17. Miguel Morais 20. Murilo
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Gilson Kleina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rafael Gava (Penalty Awarded),
24', Vilar 🟨,
26', Danilo Barcelos 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Patrick Brey ⚽, Arthur Caike (A),
44', Andre Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andre Lima ↓, Julio ↑,
46', Danilo Barcelos ↓, Juan Rodrigues ↑,
72', Kelvin ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
73', Arthur Caike ↓, Hygor ↑,
75', Denis ↓, Di Mauro F. ↑,
75', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
75', Jonathan ↓, Diego Porfirio ↑,
85', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
85', Ze Hugo ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
90+1', Pedro Henrique ↓, Jonathan ↑,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th and 20th in the Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.

Botafogo SP has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ponte Preta is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Botafogo SP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Botafogo SP holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Botafogo SP: Carlao (Knee Injury) Erik Rebello (Injury) Guilherme Mariano (Muscle Injury) Jefferson Nem (Inactive) Matheus Sales (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Ponte Preta: Elvis (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Botafogo SP: Darlan (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Ponte Preta: Jonathan Cafu (Injury) Kevyson (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
19.09.26	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
20.09.26	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Londrina - Ponte Preta	6:0 ✺
10.09.26	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.25	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.24	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	1:0
19.06.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.02.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:3
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.23	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:0
02.05.23	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	2:0

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