Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)


	Red Bull Bragantino		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6.25
	1.47	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.15	6
	1.47	4.21	7.15
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.2	6.63	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	4.19 ↑ (3.77)	6.53 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
63.7%

Draw
22.1%

Ponte Preta
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Lucas Cunha 3. Leo Ortiz (C) 29. Juninho Capixaba 23. Raul 5. Jadsom Silva 8. Lucas Evangelista 11. Helinho 19. Eduardo Sasha 17. Bruninho	1. Pedro Rocha (G) 13. Castro 23. Haquin L. 3. Nilson Junior 2. Igor Inocencio 5. Leo Naldi 21. Ramon 6. Risso G. 10. Elvis (C) 11. Iago Dias 9. Jeh
Substitutes
34. Andres Hurtado 18. Borbas T. 39. Douglas Mendes 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 33. Laquintana I. 10. Lincoln 40. Lucao (G) 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 21. Talisson 28. Vitinho	8. Diego Domene 18. Dudu Scheit 16. Edson 17. Gabriel Santiago 7. Joao Gabriel 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 4. Mateus Silva 22. Paul Villero 20. Renato 15. Wesley Fraga
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Joao Brigatti

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2.

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently RB Bragantino have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Bragantino is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
31.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	3:3 ✺
31.01.24	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Ponte Preta - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.08.23	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
15.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.05.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	1:2 penalties
19.04.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	2:0
09.03.20	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.19	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
23.07.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	2:1

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