Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)


	São-Joseense		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	2.65
	3.30	2.75	2.23
	2.83	2.63	2.80
	3.18	2.55	2.63	Watch
	2.80	2.45	2.75
	2.67	2.69	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
31%

Draw
34.6%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

33.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

34.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

São Joseense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Marcílio Dias (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcílio Dias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

São-Joseense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marcílio Dias is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marcílio Dias will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São-Joseense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	São-Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
19.05.26	São-Joseense - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Blumenau - São-Joseense	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	São-Joseense - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLTW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Blumenau - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.04.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São-Joseense	0:0

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