The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 31%
Draw 30.5%
Varzim 38.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33%
30.1%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2%)
São João de Ver - Varzim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Junior J. (G) 25. Ruca Morgado 33. Washington (C) 40. Joao Matos 55. Vilela M. 16. Jesse 6. Camara M. 7. Machado J. 29. Valente R. 17. Luisinho 90. Luan Capanni
49. Costa P. (G) 7. Serra Matos P. M. 26. Ruben (C) 3. Nuno P. 19. Morais Guedes A. 55. Rebelo D. 10. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 27. Boloto 13. Jordao 9. Pereira R. 11. Benchi D.
Substitutes
8. Campas T. 19. Carvalho J. O. 11. Gui Azevedo 45. Pereira. I 21. Rui Bruno 5. Ventura M. 61. Vilela R. 1. Virginia P. (G) 87. Zequinha
25. Couto J. 6. David Peres 17. Filipe L. 4. Kaua Vinicius 51. Momo Mbaye (G) 8. Oliveira R. 18. Stitch 95. Tim 44. Vila Cova M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rebelo D. ⚽, Morais Guedes A. (A),
17', Jesse 🟨,
30', Luan Capanni 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jesse ↓, Campas T. ↑,
58', Camara M. 🟨,
59', Benchi D. ↓, Couto J. ↑,
63', Ruca Morgado ↓, Vilela R. ↑,
63', Machado J. ↓, Gui Azevedo ↑,
66', Jordao ↓, Filipe L. ↑,
66', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Tim ↑,
70', Filipe L. 🟥,
71', 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Vilela M. ⚽,
73', Camara M. ↓, Zequinha ↑,
76', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Oliveira R. ↑,
76', Pereira R. ↓, David Peres ↑,
76', 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Ruben (Own goal),
90+2', Luan Capanni ↓, Carvalho J. O. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 9th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
São João de Ver is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Varzim have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, São João de Ver has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for São João de Ver against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
Portugal
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Junior J. (G) 
Ruca Morgado 
Washington (C) 
Jesse 
Machado J. 
Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 
Pereira. I 
Momo Mbaye (G) 
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