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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 31.2%
Draw 29.2%
Varzim 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
30.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.2%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
São João de Ver - Varzim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Novo E. (G) 37. Firmino H. 3. Serrao J. 4. Morais B. 5. Jota 23. Monteiro J. 10. Castro J. 6. Barbosa D. (C) 29. Valente R. 19. Tavares D. 33. Washington
51. Momo Mbaye (G) 77. Franca F. 2. Pimenta G. (C) 32. Rego R. 31. Talocha 44. Vila Cova M. 27. Boloto 8. Oliveira R. 71. Filipe L. 7. Teixeira G. 9. Freitas R.
Substitutes
99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 20. Campas T. 7. Erick Gabriel 16. Jesse 9. Marques P. 21. Rui Bruno 55. Vilela M. 61. Vilela R.
84. Ayiah E. 49. Costa P. (G) 20. Derick 14. Graca H. 5. Milhazes A. 3. Nuno P. 45. Rebelo M. 17. Sequeira D. 70. Ze Manuel
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Franca F. ⚽,
45+1', Rego R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Castro J. ⚽, Barbosa D. (A),
61', Freitas R. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
62', Teixeira G. ↓, Ze Manuel ↑,
70', Filipe L. ↓, Sequeira D. ↑,
78', Vila Cova M. ↓, Derick ↑,
81', Castro J. ↓, Jesse ↑,
81', Valente R. ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Portugal
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Novo E. (G) 
Washington 
Momo Mbaye (G) 
Jesse 
Ayiah E. 
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