Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Varzim		Paredes

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.90	2.85
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.62	2.76	3.15
	2.56	2.81	3.11	Watch
	2.55	2.55	3.05
	2.52	2.65	3.06
	2.39	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
36.7%

Draw
32.8%

Paredes
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Varzim - Paredes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Costa P. (G) 27. Boloto 25. Couto J. 17. Filipe L. 4. Kaua Vinicius 19. Morais Guedes A. 8. Oliveira R. (C) 55. Rebelo D. 26. Ruben 99. Silva F. 95. Tim	31. Matos F. (G) 11. Almara F. 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Gustavo Fernandes 7. Miguel 10. Rodrigues D. 8. Silva D. 6. Val B. 13. Vigario J.
Substitutes
11. Benchi D. 6. David Peres 28. Gustavo Ramalho (G) 13. Jordao 10. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 9. Pereira R. 7. Serra Matos P. M. 18. Stitch 44. Vila Cova M.	30. Canario F. 24. Edu 16. Goncalves T. (G) 23. Macedo Z. 78. Ruca 26. Santos Outeiro D. 29. Vasco Rocha 84. Yuk J. 5. Ze Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽, Miguel (A),
26', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
32', Couto J. 🟨,
35', Couto J. ↓, Serra Matos P. M. ↑,
36', Silva D. 🟨,
41', Tim 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Vigario J. 🟨,
60', Silva F. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
60', Rebelo D. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
67', Rodrigues D. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
68', Oliveira R. 🟨,
74', Erik ↓, Ruca ↑,
81', Oliveira R. ↓, David Peres ↑,
81', Tim ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
85', Silva D. ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
85', Almara F. ↓, Yuk J. ↑,
90+1', Boloto 🟨,
90+4', Duarte D. P. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Varzim has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paredes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Varzim - Trofense	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Varzim	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Varzim - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Tirsense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW
- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Paredes	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Paredes - Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.05.26	Paredes - Marco 09	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Sanjoanense - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.12.25	Paredes - Varzim	0:0
12.09.25	Varzim - Paredes	2:2
12.03.23	Paredes - Varzim	1:0
02.12.22	Varzim - Paredes	1:0

Varzim - Paredes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide