Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paços de Ferreira		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.00	2.60
	2.45	3	2.62
	2.6	3.17	2.71
	2.59	3.22	2.69	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.6
	2.52	3.02	2.6	Watch
	2.48	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.63 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
36%

Draw
29.5%

Varzim
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Paços de Ferreira - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 85. Castro D. 33. Rafael (C) 43. Joao Sidonio 15. Dias L. 8. Cunha N. 19. Castro T. 80. Caio Rafael 7. Cardoso N. 99. Platiny 96. Fale M.	49. Costa P. (G) 17. Filipe L. 26. Ruben 4. Kaua Vinicius 19. Morais Guedes A. 27. Boloto 55. Rebelo D. 8. Oliveira R. 25. Couto J. 99. Silva F. 95. Tim
Substitutes
29. Cerveira T. 31. Figueiredo C. (G) 35. Gabi 10. Joao Neto 2. Mesquita T. 28. Nascimento D. 6. Podstawski T. 20. Queiroz T. 11. Sacra	11. Benchi D. 6. David Peres 28. Gustavo Ramalho (G) 13. Jordao 10. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 9. Pereira R. 7. Serra Matos P. M. 18. Stitch 44. Vila Cova M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Oliveira R. ⚽,
39', Cardoso N. 🟨,
41', Kaua Vinicius 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Cunha N. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 1 - 2, Silva F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Castro T. ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
51', Joao Neto 🟨,
60', Rebelo D. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
60', Couto J. ↓, Serra Matos P. M. ↑,
60', Cardoso N. ↓, Sacra ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ⚽,
66', Silva F. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
66', Cunha N. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
66', Caio Rafael ↓, Queiroz T. ↑,
68', Oliveira R. 🟨,
75', Dias L. 🟨,
79', Kaua Vinicius ↓, Vila Cova M. ↑,
79', Oliveira R. ↓, David Peres ↑,
84', 1 - 4, David Peres ⚽,

Preview

Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Farense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Lusitânia - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Varzim - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Tirsense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	União de Santarém - Varzim	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Varzim - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.02.19	Paços de Ferreira - Varzim	1:0
02.09.18	Varzim - Paços de Ferreira	0:1

Paços de Ferreira - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide