Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Tirsense		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.2
	1.65	3.35	4.3
	1.71	3.5	4.1
	1.68	3.43	4.55
	1.66	3.64	4.5
	1.74	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	4.31 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
53.3%

Draw
25.8%

Merelinense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tirsense's form might have worsened.

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tirsense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Tirsense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merelinense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tirsense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Tirsense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Bragança - Tirsense	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Tirsense - Dumiense	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Pevidem - Tirsense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLW
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.12.22	Merelinense - Vilar de Perdizes	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Desportivo Monção - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Merelinense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Bragança - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
11.10.26	Braga B - Tirsense	✺

Tirsense - Merelinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide