Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.35	2.65	3.25	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3.25
	2.33	2.7	3.15
	2.4	2.76	3.36
	2.45	3	3
	2.53	2.66	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.86)	2.77 ↓ (3.42)	3.16 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
38.1%

Draw
33%

Carpi
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

17.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carpi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Südtirol Alto Adige - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carpi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Südtirol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.20	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
11.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Matelica - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fermana	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Imolese - Carpi	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Carpi - Fano	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Carpi - Sambenedettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.01.20	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
01.09.19	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	2:3
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
02.06.13	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
26.05.13	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	1:2
10.02.13	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2

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