Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Carpi		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.92	2.82
	2.76	2.84	2.85
	2.68	2.78	2.82	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.7
	2.67	2.72	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.31)	2.77 ↓ (3.02)	2.79 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
34.2%

Draw
33%

Sambenedettese
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carpi's form might have worsened.

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Carpi - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 7. Cecotti T. 30. Giani E. 28. Puletto F. 23. Sall A.	1. Orsini T. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 5. Chelli M. 17. Pezzola L. 47. Konate A. 18. Candellori K. 8. Bongelli R. 37. Toure M. 80. Piccoli M. 27. Stoppa M. 9. Eusepi U. (C)
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 11. Casarini F. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N.	32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 7. Marranzino P. 11. Parigini V. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 14. Tosi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Puletto F. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
53', Giani E. 🟨,
63', Rossini M. 🟨,
74', Giani E. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
75', Bongelli R. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
75', Stoppa M. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
80', Figoli M. 🟨,
86', Eusepi U. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
86', Konate A. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent form of Carpi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sambenedettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Carpi - Ternana	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Campobasso - Carpi	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Carpi - Pianese	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus U23 - Carpi	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Sambenedettese - Pianese	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Sambenedettese - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Bra - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Sambenedettese - Carpi	0:1
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1
27.09.20	Carpi - Sambenedettese	2:0
15.12.19	Carpi - Sambenedettese	1:0

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