Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.65	1.75
	3.82	3.81	1.76	Watch
	3.86	3.86	1.78	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (3.99)	3.77 ↓ (4.2)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
24%

Draw
24.2%

Elana Toruń
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elana Toruń could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Elana Toruń Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Tłuchowia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elana Toruń is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Elana Toruń is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wda Świecie	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLW
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Elana Toruń - Września	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTW

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