Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.4 (4.4)	5.4 (5.4)

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
63.2%

Draw
20.3%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

16.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Stargard have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tłuchowia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stargard is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWTL
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wda Świecie	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Luzino - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	✺

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide