Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.35	1.5
	4.23	4.3	1.56
	4.77	4.42	1.52	Watch
	4.69	4.33	1.53	Watch
	5.9	4.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.29)	4.44 ↑ (4.08)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
18.8%

Draw
20.6%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

22.2%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Środa Wielkopolska will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Koltanski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Steczynski R. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Koltanski D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Tłuchowia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Środa Wielkopolska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Luzino - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	6:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLL
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Września - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

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