Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dietmar-Hopp Stadion (Sinsheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kottmann D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	08:00	DAZN Canada
France	13:00	DAZN France
Germany	13:00	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Portugal	12:00	DAZN / App
Usa	08:00	DAZN USA


	TSG Hoffenheim		Mainz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.50	7.75
	1.21	5.55	8.4	Watch
	1.23	7.02	8.71
	1.23	6.8	8.9	Watch
	1.2	6.95	8.45
	1.3	5.83	7.61
	1.25	5.5	8.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.11)	6.16 ↓ (7.45)	8.3 ↓ (13.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSG Hoffenheim
74.1%

Draw
14.9%

Mainz
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.4%

12.1%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSG Hoffenheim's form might have worsened.

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

TSG Hoffenheim - Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick L. (G) 20. Gloning L. 34. Vohringer S. 14. Doorn L. 4. Kaut L. 6. Diehm V. (C) 26. Grimm J. 11. Natter L. 21. Martret L. 9. Steiner M. 19. Folmli S.	33. Schon M. (G) 4. Bathmann K. 3. Georgieva M. 14. Imai Y. 9. Berg J. (C) 37. Pageler M. L. 31. Stohr L. 7. Fetaj G. 6. Kurishima A. 30. Kats V. 27. Anstatt N.
Substitutes
30. Bitzer N. 13. Douma W. 15. Fenger M. 23. Hahn C. 28. Lichtfus L. (G) 29. Lueger D. 16. Roder M. 25. van de Velde J.	10. Bouziane C. 18. Flach P. 25. Hashitani S. 22. Junold E. 26. Martin L. 12. Pawlowski L. (G) 13. Strickler M. 8. Takizawa R.
Coaches
Virsinger M.	Yamashita T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Kats V. ⚽,
19', Kaut L. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Grimm J. ⚽, Martret L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kaut L. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
58', Natter L. ↓, Fenger M. ↑,
70', Stohr L. ↓, Strickler M. ↑,
72', Fetaj G. ↓, Bouziane C. ↑,
73', Berg J. 🟨,
73', Kurishima A. ↓, Takizawa R. ↑,
82', Martret L. ↓, Bitzer N. ↑,
82', Pageler M. L. ↓, Flach P. ↑,
82', Anstatt N. ↓, Martin L. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Bitzer N. ⚽, Grimm J. (A),
88', Gloning L. ↓, van de Velde J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Grimm J. ⚽, Folmli S. (A),

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 11th and 14th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women).

Hoffenheim has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mainz is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Hoffenheim as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hoffenheim W	7	3	0	4	11:12	-1	9
14	Mainz W	8	0	0	8	4:27	-23	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim Women
German Bundesliga Women
04.10.26	Nürnberg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - TSG Hoffenheim	4:2 ✺
04.09.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Köln - TSG Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL
- Mainz 05 Women
German Bundesliga Women
18.10.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	0:5 ✺
03.10.26	RB Leipzig - Mainz	5:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Freiburg - Mainz	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Mainz - Köln	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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