Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 27

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday


	TSV Havelse		Kilia Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	9
	1.2	6.5	11
	1.22	6.52	10.21
	1.22	6.52	10.21
	1.15	6.5	11
	1.19	6.47	10.2
	1.23	6	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.41)	6.39 ↑ (5.21)	10 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
76.5%

Draw
14.4%

Kilia Kiel
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

17.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TSV Havelse's performance.

Kilia Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilia Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSV Havelse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilia Kiel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kilia Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Labes B. O. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Minz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 2 - 1, Minz D. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Teichgraber N. ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, Aouci L. ⚽,
68', 3 - 3, Aouci L. ⚽,
76', 3 - 4, Nohns B. L. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Havelse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kilia Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kilia Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kilia Kiel have a series of home games.

In this match Havelse is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Havelse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
04.05.24	TSV Havelse - Eintracht Norderstedt	1:2 ✺
01.05.24	TSV Havelse - Bremer SV	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	TSV Havelse - SC Weiche-08	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Meppen - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL
- FC Kilia Kiel
German Regionalliga North
04.05.24	Kilia Kiel - Teutonia Ottensen	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Kilia Kiel	5:1 ✺
20.04.24	Kilia Kiel - Hamburger II	1:1 ✺
17.04.24	Eimsbütteler - Kilia Kiel	5:1 ✺
12.04.24	SC Weiche-08 - Kilia Kiel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
30.09.23	Kilia Kiel - TSV Havelse	0:2

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