Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 14

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	TSV Havelse		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3
	2.05	3.75	3.1
	2.04	3.75	3.2
	1.97	3.73	3.19
	1.8	3.8	3.4
	2	3.65	3.08
	2.05	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
46.3%

Draw
24.6%

Phönix Lübeck
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Duker J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Kolgeci B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Adou E. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Paldino L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs and 7).

Recent matches Havelse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Phönix Lübeck is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Havelse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Havelse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Havelse won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
06.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - TSV Havelse	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	TSV Havelse - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Meppen - TSV Havelse	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	TSV Havelse - Jeddeloh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTW
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
06.10.24	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Phönix Lübeck - Bremer SV	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Drochtersen Assel - Phönix Lübeck	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Phönix Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
16.03.24	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	4:1
24.09.23	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	1:2
04.03.23	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	3:0
04.09.22	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	2:2

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