Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 24

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Tabasalu		Jõhvi Phoenix

	1	X	2
	3.10	4.10	1.80
	3.15	4.05	1.8
	2.91	4.59	1.93
	2.94	4.69	1.86	Watch
	2.6	4.5	1.9
	2.99	4.47	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	4.4 ↑ (4.35)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
30.8%

Draw
20.6%

Jõhvi Phoenix
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

20.9%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

20.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jõhvi Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Tabasalu aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lust A. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Lust A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 2.

Tabasalu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jõhvi Phoenix is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jõhvi Phoenix might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Johvi Phoenix	34	18	3	13	76:76	0	57
8	Tabasalu ✔	34	11	4	19	48:86	-38	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
16.08.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL
- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
15.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:2 ✺
04.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
09.05.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	1:2
18.04.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:1
18.09.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2
16.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:1
10.05.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	2:2
12.04.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:3

Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix