The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 44.8%
Draw 24.5%
Los Angeles 2 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
23.7%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
24.6%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Los Angeles 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles 2 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (C) 33. Baker C. 53. Sandnes G. 39. Hawkins S. 48. Phoenix C. 40. O'Neill M. 32. Gnaulati X. 84. Gaffney C. 36. Tsukanome Y. 90. Gomez S. 79. Gonzalez L.
51. Liu S. (G) 32. Babineau T. 34. Whitchurch G. 55. Diaz E. 92. Ponciano E. 40. Nava S. 36. Guerra D. 70. Evans M. 67. Machuca J. 47. Aiyenero M. 90. Mihalic T. (C)
Substitutes
47. Alvarez D. 81. Bronnik M. 80. Brown D. 30. Carli E. 42. Jauregui R. 97. Kitafuji S. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G) 58. Winslow J.
35. Goodman L. 83. Kaplan S. 66. Moyado B. 63. Resich D. 81. Rodriguez E. 61. Romero J. (G) 62. Santiago J. 56. Villeda E. 48. Zambrano G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Evans M. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, O'Neill M. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
17', 2 - 1, Gaffney C. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
22', Evans M. 🟨,
22', 3 - 1, Tsukanome Y. (Penalty Awarded),
37', O'Neill M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gaffney C. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
46', Hawkins S. ↓, Winslow J. ↑,
61', Baker C. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
63', Evans M. ↓, Zambrano G. ↑,
64', Ponciano E. ↓, Kaplan S. ↑,
69', Gnaulati X. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
77', Aiyenero M. ↓, Resich D. ↑,
77', Mihalic T. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
78', Phoenix C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Guerra D. ↓, Villeda E. ↑,
89', Jauregui R. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
Tacoma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Los Angeles 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
Tacoma might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.8:2.2).