Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Tacoma Defiance		Austin II

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.56	4.33	2.44
	2.77	4.21	2.12	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.36	3.88	2.32	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.25)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
37%

Draw
23.7%

Austin II
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tacoma Defiance - Austin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (C) 40. O'Neill M. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. 48. Phoenix C. 32. Gnaulati X. 65. Smith B. 42. Jauregui R. 36. Tsukanome Y. 90. Gomez S. 81. Bronnik M.	1. Farrar C. (C) 2. Thomas R. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 24. Hot K. 6. Barro D. 8. Gonzalez A. 21. Dobrijevic S. 32. Burton M. 44. Hale A.
Substitutes
47. Alvarez D. 80. Brown D. 30. Carli E. 84. Gaffney C. 79. Gonzalez L. 97. Kitafuji S. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G)	20. Badawiya M. 23. Che N. 14. Ciesla D. 9. Danciutiu V. 37. Feliciano E. 13. Lauta E. (G) 43. Moncrief L. 16. Ruszel M. 22. Sall I.
Coaches
Nagamura P.	Shackell J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
27', Hot K. 🟨,
35', Thomas R. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hale A. ↓, Feliciano E. ↑,
47', Ciesla D. 🟨,
64', Smith B. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
64', Phoenix C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
64', Bronnik M. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
67', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
67', Burton M. ↓, Sall I. ↑,
71', Feliciano E. 🟨,
77', Dobrijevic S. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
81', Jauregui R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
85', Gomez S. ↓, Kitafuji S. ↑,
86', Ruszel M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Hot K. ⚽,

Preview

Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
14.03.26	Tacoma Defiance - San Jose Earthquakes 2	1:0 penalties ✺
08.03.26	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2	2:3 penalties ✺
05.10.25	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	The Town - Tacoma Defiance	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLLWW
- Austin FC II
MLS Next Pro
15.03.26	Austin II - North Texas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Austin II - Ventura County	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Austin II - Minnesota United 2	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	The Town - Austin II	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Austin II - Portland Timbers 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
12.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	1:2
15.03.24	Austin II - Tacoma Defiance	1:3
08.10.23	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	0:1
25.06.23	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	1:0
07.04.23	Austin II - Tacoma Defiance	2:1

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