Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	La Luz		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.40
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.17	3.09	3.62
	2.17	3.14	3.45	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.35
	2.04	3.26	3.67
	2.05	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
43.7%

Draw
30%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent form of La Luz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Huracán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Luz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, La Luz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	La Luz - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	La Luz - Rentistas	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - La Luz	1:1
27.03.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2

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