Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 14

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	15:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.62	2.95	2.52
	2.75	3.09	2.59
	2.75	3.12	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.7	3.3	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.96)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.53 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
34.3%

Draw
29.6%

Paysandú
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Paso de la Arena's form might have worsened.

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Paso de la Arena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 3 - 1, ⚽,
52', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 11).

Huracán has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paysandú is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Paysandú will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Paysandu FC	24	10	4	10	32:31	1	34
11	Huracan FC	24	8	6	10	25:33	-8	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2

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