Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 15

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tacuary		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.95	2.45
	2.72	2.92	2.48
	2.84	2.99	2.59
	2.89	2.84	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.65	2.55
	2.72	3.34	2.49
	2.7	2.9	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	2.94 ↓ (3.43)	2.53 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
33.1%

Draw
31%

Deportivo Capiatá
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Capiatá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tacuary will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Deportivo Capiatá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Deportivo Capiatá (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Capiatá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Verdun G. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tacuary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tacuary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dep. Capiata	27	6	11	10	31:37	-6	29
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30:43	-13	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuary - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.23%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Capiatá - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Paraguarí - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Tacuary - Atlético Tembetary	4:2 ✺
06.06.26	Benjamín Aceval - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLT
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.07.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Atlético Tembetary	1:3 ✺
06.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	5:2 ✺
06.06.26	12 de Junio - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.07.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	0:0
13.04.25	Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá	0:4
16.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	1:1

Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide