Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tacuary		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.75	3.25	2	Watch
	3.83	3.34	2.04
	3.81	3.28	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.72	3.33	2	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.31)	2 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
25.2%

Draw
28.6%

Guaraní Asuncion
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 34. Arguello M. 13. Espinoza P. 33. Caceres L. 24. Samudio M. 6. Paredes M. (C) 3. Jean Mangabeira 11. Brizuela F. 20. Riveros L. 7. Camacho N. 17. Morinigo N.	23. Servio G. (G) 37. Perez D. 3. Riveros P. 27. Roman Torales F. J. 32. Cantero A. 7. Manzur A. 21. Pinatares B. 11. Prieto R. 19. Santacruz J. 10. Martinez M. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E.
Substitutes
12. Bareiro A. (G) 39. Berrio O. 32. Burgos Velazquez G. 10. Colman O. 35. Corrales S. 22. Juan Gauto 23. Martinez L. 37. Nunez M. 14. Pedrozo R. 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J. 4. Victor Ferraz	34. Adorno M. 39. Alvarenga J. 29. Barrientos N. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 20. Cuello A. 9. Gonzalez W. 4. Ibarrola W. 5. Lopez M. 6. Marecos G. 8. Moreira E. 35. Pereira A. 12. Rodriguez M. (G)
Coaches
Palau M.	Arce F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Morinigo N. ⚽,
36', Arguello M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Servio G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Santacruz J. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
46', Mino Amarilla C. E. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
53', Camacho N. ↓, Victor Ferraz ↑,
63', Riveros L. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
63', Espinoza P. ↓, Berrio O. ↑,
79', Samudio M. ↓, Pedrozo R. ↑,
83', Martinez M. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
85', Caceres L. 🟨,
88', Prieto R. ↓, Ibarrola W. ↑,
90+5', Manzur A. 🟨,
90+5', Manzur A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
29.08.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.08.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
28.08.24	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Guaraní Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.04.24	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	4:4
28.01.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	3:0
08.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0
21.07.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
17.05.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3
14.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0
06.11.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	2:1

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