Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Nacional Asuncion		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.32	4.05
	1.96	3.31	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.7
	1.93	3.37	3.94	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	3.83 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
47.7%

Draw
28.2%

Tacuary
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 4. Alfaro J. L. 14. Nunez C. (C) 23. Monteagudo J. C. 25. Rivas L. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 18. Quintana S. 13. Meza L. 16. Jara F. 11. Caballero G. 8. Bareiro S.	1. Vagner (G) 34. Arguello M. 33. Caceres L. 21. Romero L. 24. Samudio M. 3. Jean Mangabeira 6. Paredes M. (C) 11. Brizuela F. 20. Riveros L. 7. Camacho N. 29. Berrio O.
Substitutes
5. Benitez G. 36. Benitez S. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 22. Figueredo J. 21. Franco F. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 28. Martinez A. 37. Nunez J. 35. Peralta F. (G) 17. Recalde J. 29. Vargas S.	12. Bareiro A. (G) 32. Burgos Velazquez G. 10. Colman O. 35. Corrales S. 13. Espinoza P. 15. Juan Gauto 23. Martinez L. 17. Morinigo N. 14. Pedrozo R. 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J. 4. Victor Ferraz
Coaches
Bernay V.	Palau M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Quintana S. ⚽,
26', Nunez C. 🟨,
36', Caceres L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Berrio O. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
57', Rojas S. (Pen),
59', Romero L. 🟨,
60', Camacho N. ↓, Valdeci ↑,
60', Romero L. ↓, Victor Ferraz ↑,
68', Bareiro S. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
69', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
72', Caceres L. ↓, Espinoza P. ↑,
83', Quintana S. 🟨,
84', Quintana S. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
90', Meza L. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
90', Caballero G. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
90+2', Espinoza P. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
12.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
07.08.24	2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWL
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.06.24	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	2:5
17.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1
30.09.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:3
17.07.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:1
03.06.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0
31.03.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:0
31.10.22	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	2:1

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