The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacuary 27.2%
Draw 29.6%
Independiente Asuncion 43.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.9%
24.7%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
24.2%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 5th).
Recent results have been tough for Tacuary (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Independiente FBC shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Independiente FBC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Independiente FBC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tacuary has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tacuary against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Independiente FBC
30
11
10
9
46:41
5
43
15
Tacuary
30
5
12
13
35:52
-17
27
Last Results with these Odds
Tacuary - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Paraguay
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