Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 23

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)


	Tacuary		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.2	3.25	2.82
	2.19	3.31	2.88
	1.51	4.32	5.45	Watch
	2.28	3.51	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	3.31 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
44.3%

Draw
27.2%

Independiente Asuncion
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gimenez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', Cabrera F. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Tacuary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tacuary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Asuncion - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.08.25	Sol de América - Tacuary	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Encarnación - Tacuary	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Tacuary - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:3 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1
17.09.21	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:2
13.06.21	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:3

Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide